What is a Managed Futures Account?
A Professionally Managed Futures
Account is a discretionary account
where you give permission to a
Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) to
make all trading decisions on your
behalf through a revocable power of
attorney or a third party trading
authorization.
Investing in a managed account
relieves you of the concerns
associated with trading aspect of
investing i.e. market timing, asset
allocation, stop loss protection,
etc. You make the large decisions of
who to authorize to manage your
account and how much risk capital to
invest. To facilitate this, you
review ranking, profile, and
performance measurement reports and
of course the individual CTAs
disclosure document to screen and
qualify the investment for your
particular situation.
What are Commodity Trading Advisors?
CTAs are professional traders known
as a "Commodity Trading Advisors".
Traders with this designation are
required by the US Government to
submit a disclosure document which
outlines who he or she is, states
the fees and expenses charged to
accounts and reveals the trader's
performance track record.
Additionally, information on the
Advisor's trading program are
explained, as well as any conflicts
of interest or disciplinary history
that may be material.
What type of investors utilize
managed accounts?
It's traditionally been individual
investors seeking the profit
opportunities of futures trading but
without the responsibility and
demands of day-to-day account
management. Recently, however,
growing numbers of corporate and
institutional investors have been
allocating some portion of their
total portfolio assets to specially
designed and professionally managed
futures trading programs. The total
amount of capital in managed futures
programs is estimated to exceed $180
billion.
What has been responsible for the
growth in managed futures trading?
A variety of things. As traditional
investment markets have become
increasingly volatile - and
vulnerable to often-unexpected
events institutional money managers
and other sophisticated investors
have sought to more effectively
manage overall portfolio risk
through diversification. Indeed,
risk and diversification are major
concerns in today's market
environment -- along with, of
course, yield.
A number of studies indicate that a
portfolio that includes managed
futures can yield an appreciably
higher and more stable return over
time than a portfolio that includes
only stocks and bonds. The same
evidence indicates this can be
achieved without added risk. (See
next question.)
Still another factor in the growth
of managed futures has been the
tremendous broadening of futures
markets to encompass stock indexes,
debt instruments, currencies, and
options as well as conventional
commodities. This has created whole
new categories of profit
opportunities. The increasingly
global nature of today's futures
markets also has expanded the scope
of investment opportunities.
Finally, from the standpoint of an
individual investor, managed futures
accounts have proven to be
considerably more profitable on the
average than accounts that
individuals trade on their own. (See
Question: How does the performance
of managed futures accounts compare
with those of self-directed
accounts?.)
How are profitability,
volatility and risk affected when
managed
futures are included in an
investment portfolio?
Harvard Business School Professor
John E. Lintner found that including
managed futures in a portfolio
"reduces volatility while enhancing
return." And that such portfolios
"have substantially less risk at
every possible level of return than
portfolios of stocks, or stocks and
bonds.
For the period january 1, 1980 to
December 31, 1998, data show that
managed futures investments (as
measured by the Barclay CTA Index)
had a compound annual return of
15.8%. That compares very favorably
with the 17.7% return that common
stocks had during the same period,
one of the strongest stock markets
in U.S. history. Further, it
exceeded the 11.8% compound return
on bonds.
Moreover, during a similar period
(Jan 1, 1980 to Dec 31, 1997),
analysis showed that a portfolio
that was comprised of some managed
had similar profitability with far
less risk.
All things considered, why
can investment portfolio performance
be
improved by including managed
futures?
There's no single reason, but high
on the list is that managed futures
may perform best when other
investments are performing
relatively poorly. On the occasions
of the S&P 500's two worst declines
during the past decade, managed
futures recorded net profits of 9.7%
and 18.6%. A study by University of
Massachusetts Finance Professor
Thomas Schneeweis compared the S&P's
worst 12 months and best 12 months
since 1985 and found that managed
futures posted gains during both
periods.
An important advantage of futures is
the opportunity they provide to
respond swiftly on a highly
leveraged basis whenever and
wherever in the financial and
commodity markets major price
movements occur -- either upward or
downward -- and to do so without
liquidating other investment
holdings or adding to overall
portfolio risk.
Is a managed futures account
appropriate as a short-term
investment?
No. Futures markets, like most
markets, tend to be cyclical.
Moreover, even an advisor who is
highly successful over the course of
a year may -- and probably will --
experience some months in which
losses are incurred. Thus, while you
are free to close an account at any
time (see Question: Are there any
restrictions on withdrawing funds
from the account?), it's probably
not a prudent investment strategy to
establish an account that you don't
plan to maintain for at least a
year.
Does having a managed
futures account lessen the risk in
futures trading?
There is no method of futures
trading that doesn't involve risk.
The same leverage and price
movements that can produce trading
profits can produce trading losses.
Indeed, any loss that can occur when
an individual directs his own
account also can occur in a
professionally managed futures
account.
Having said this, however, one of
the things that should obviously be
looked for in a trading advisor is a
long-term demonstrated ability to
manage risks. More about this later.
(Also see discussion of loss
limiting provisions of managed
accounts addressed in the Question:
"Do managed accounts have any
automatic provision to limit
losses?"
Can you give an example of
"Leverage"?
If you are already familiar with the
arithmetic of futures, this will be
nothing new to you. Still, an
example illustrates the reason for
having some part of a total
investment portfolio positioned to
participate in profit opportunities
as when there are significant price
movements virtually anywhere in the
economy.
Example: Assume there are
indications that the U.S. dollar
will increase in value.
Consequently, the value of a Swiss
franc is expected to drop from 65.00
cents to perhaps only 60.00 cents.
With a performance bond deposit of
about $10,000, you could establish a
short position in 6 Swiss franc
futures. (Each Swiss fran futures
contract equals 125,000 Swiss
francs.) If the price declines by
the expected 5.00 cents, the profit
on the $10,000 performance bond
deposit will be $37,500 (.05 x
125,000 x 6). That's leverage.
Now take the example one step
further and assume the $10,000
performance bond deposit was part of
a $50,000 managed futures account
and that you also have $150,000 in
stock and bond investments with an
average annual return of 12%. Even
if the Swiss franc contracts
represented the total net futures
profit for the year, a $37,500 gain
would double the overall portfolio
return for the year. Yet only 5% of
the total $200,000 portfolio was
invested in the futures positions.
In the context of portfolio
management, that's the significance
of leverage.
Couldn't the trade have
resulted in a loss?
Obviously yes, if the Swiss franc
futures price had risen rather than
declined. For each 1.00 cent of
price increase prior to the
liquidation of each futures
contract, there would have been a
$1,250 loss per contract. Hopefully,
a disciplined trading advisor would
have liquidated the positions to
limit the loss once it became
apparent that prices were not moving
in the expected direction.
How does the performance of
managed futures accounts compare to
self-directed accounts?
Some individual investors -- those
who have the know-how, time, access
to information, and necessary
temperament -- are highly successful
in directing their own futures
trading. Unfortunately, however, the
record suggests that only a small
percentage of "do-it-yourself"
futures traders possess these
requisites for success. Studies
indicate that somewhere between two
out of three and nine out of ten
lose money.
However, of the 119 funds and pools
in the Managed Account Reports
Fund/Pool Qualified Universe Index
that traded from January 1990
through October 1996, 81% were
profitable over the full time
period.
Has the advantage of managed
futures trading been increasing in
recent years, and if so, why?
Most industry experts agree this has
been the case, due in large measure
to the increasing complexity of
financial markets in general and
futures markets in particular. With
the complexities have come
additional strategies for
fine-tuning risk-reward
relationships, and for using futures
in conjunction with a wide array of
other financial products. Recently
created worldwide market linkages
have likewise placed a premium on
the ability to quickly analyze and
act on vast amounts of information.
These are capabilities that
professional management is generally
best able to provide.
For example, most successful trading
advisors monitor a large number of
different markets and market
relationships simultaneously and
continuously. This can translate
into a faster response to profit
opportunities and an earlier warning
to retreat from unattractive market
positions.
Are there other reasons why
managed accounts are generally more
profitable?
The growing complexity of the
markets is one factor but by no
means the only factor. As in most
areas of investment, trading
experience and trading skills are
ultimately major determinants of
trading success. Profitable futures
trading requires the discipline and
temperament to respond to market
realities if and when they conflict
with market expectations. It
requires a keen knowledge of when
and how to establish positions and
when and how to liquidate them. It
requires the development and
implementation of carefully
considered trading strategies -- a
trading plan and a trading system.
And the list goes on. Effective
account diversification demands an
insightful understanding of how
various markets react with and to
one another. Otherwise, attempts to
diversify could prove illusory. Even
institutional and corporate
portfolio managers who may have
experience in futures -- such as for
hedging applications -- generally
choose to use professional advisors
to manage their futures trading
investments. For most individual
investors, the advantages can be
even greater.
Don't trading advisors
differ from one another in their
investment results?
Definitely. In any given year, some
will recite impressive profits and
others will incur losses. Still
others will occupy the full range of
everywhere in between. The success
of your managed account will depend
on the success of the advisor you
select.
How do you choose an advisor
to invest with?
There are a variety of things to
consider but in the final analysis
it will come down to a judgment call
-- yours! It will be a matter of
gathering and considering
information, asking questions, and
choosing on the basis of your
confidence in the advisor's
experience and ability.
Begin by visiting with futures
specialists at the brokerage firm
where you are considering
establishing an account. Firms that
offer managed account programs
generally screen the qualifications
of dozens of different trading
advisors to narrow the list to a few
that they feel most confident in
recommending at a particular time.
Persons registered with the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
as Commodity Trading Advisors are
required to provide detailed
"Disclosure Documents" to
prospective clients. These are
similar to a prospectus and contain
a wealth of information about the
advisor, his experience, approach to
futures trading, and trading
results. Take time to read them.
How important is an
advisor's past trading performance -
the "track record?"
As the ads and prospectuses are
required to state, past performance
is no guarantee of future results.
An advisor who has performed well in
the past may perform poorly in the
future. And it is possible that
someone who has performed poorly may
begin to perform well. This
notwithstanding, in any endeavor
some individuals are obviously
better at what they do than others
and a track record is at least an
indication of past performance.
In addition, a track record can
provide other valuable information
about an advisor's experience,
approach to trading, and amount of
money under management. You'll also
want to note whether performance
data included in the disclosure
document refers to actual trading
results or to "hypothetical" or
"simulated" results. Make your own
decision about whether to invest in
an untested trading system that may
be based solely on market hindsight.
Thus, should you consider an
advisor's past performance?
Certainly, provided you understand
its limitations and provided it's
not the only thing you consider.
What should be considered when
checking an advisor's track record?
Start by considering the length of
the track. Sprinters aren't
necessarily successful distance
runners. Sensational performance in
a short time span, bluntly put, may
reflect little more than
extraordinarily good luck. Or, of
more concern, it may reflect someone
who takes greater risks than you may
be comfortable with over the long
haul. Or it could reflect
specialization in markets that, in a
given period, were especially
active.
Track records can be much more
meaningful when you examine a longer
track. This provides more
information about how an advisor has
performed over the landscape of
continuously changing market
scenarios. And, very important,
performance in less-than-spectacular
years may be indicative of the
advisor's risk management skills.
That's crucial, particularly in
markets that tend to be cyclical.
Which futures markets would
I be trading in with a managed
account?
This will be determined by your
trading advisor and in all
likelihood it will be different
markets at different times. The pie
chart below illustrates the scope
and diversity of today's futures
markets as well as the recent volume
of trading in various categories.
How do advisors differ in
their investment approaches?
One way is in how aggressively or
conservatively they participate in
the markets. There also could be
differences in which markets they
trade. Some specialize in particular
areas -- such as financial
instruments, metals, or agricultural
products while others pursue profit
opportunities wherever they appear
to exist. If you have a preference
for a particular approach, this
should be taken into account.
Another difference is whether the
advisor employs a "fundamental" or
"technical" trading system.
Fundamental meaning that trading
decisions are based principally on
supply and demand, and technical
meaning that the markets themselves
are continuously analyzed for
signals to future price direction.
Even then, different advisors have
developed and employ different
systems and may read the markets
differently. Moreover, the
fundamental-technical distinction
has broken down somewhat as
fundamental advisors frequently
employ computerized tools to
pinpoint the timing of their trading
decisions.
With a managed account, will
I have market positions at all, or
nearly all times?
This is another way trading advisors
can differ in their investment
approach. Some believe the most
profitable way to capture the price
movements inherent in volatile
markets is to maintain continuous
but changing market positions. And
their trading systems are designed
accordingIy. Others commit capital
to the markets only when there is
reasonable confirmation of
significant longer-term price
trends. In the absence of such
trends, or under certain other
market conditions, the advisor may
temporarily elect to remain "market
neutral."
This is not to suggest that either
approach is necessarily better, only
that they are different. Which to
choose may depend on your own
investment temperament and the
capabilities of the particular
advisor.
Where will me money be when
I establish a managed account?
It will be with the brokerage firm
where you have your account. While
the trading advisor will direct
trading for the account, all other
account functions are performed by
your brokerage firm, including
custody of funds in a segregated
customer account.
Is a managed futures account
subject to performance bond calls?
A performance bond call is a request
from the broker to deposit
additional funds to the account,
generally to cover losses on open
positions; any futures account,
managed or otherwise, is subject to
them. However, a major objective of
professional trading advisors is to
manage and diversify their clients'
investments in a way that will avoid
the necessity for performance bond
calls. You may want to inquire about
whether all of your funds will be
committed to the market at any one
point in time.
Do managed accounts have any
automatic provisions to limit
losses?
If so, this will be described in the
disclosure document. A loss of more
than some given percentage, or
losses that reduce the account value
below a specified dollar amount, may
trigger the liquidation of all
currently open positions and a
subsequent closing of the account.
This "safety valve" feature is
clearly one of the things to inquire
about when you are considering
establishing an account. Keep in
mind, however, that no one can
guarantee an absolute limit to the
extent of losses any more than they
can guarantee a given level of
profit. Performance, it bears
repeating, hinges on the success of
your trading advisor.
Who regulates Commodity
Trading Advisors (CTA's)?
They are regulated by the federal
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC) and by the National Futures
Association (NFA), the
congressionally authorized
self-regulatory organization of the
futures industry. Not all trading
advisors must be registered with the
CFTC and those who manage customer
accounts need not be members of
NFA**.
Advisors' disclosure documents are
required to be submitted to the CFTC
for review in advance of
distribution to prospective
investors. On an ongoing basis, NFA
audits disclosure documents
(particularly performance
information), promotional materials,
and trading activities. Violations
of CFTC or NFA rules can result in a
loss of trading privileges and other
penalties.
** You can verify an advisor's
registration and NFA membership by
phoning NFA toll-free at
1-800-621-3570. NFA also offers,
without charge, a number of
informative publications regarding
its regulatory activities and
futures trading.
On an on-going basis, how
will I know the status of my
account?
Your brokerage firm will provide the
same timely reports you'd receive if
you were directing your own account.
This includes immediate mailed
reports of all purchases and sales,
a marked-to-the-market valuation of
open positions, and a month-end
summary of transactions, gains,
losses, open positions, and current
account value. Your broker, of
course, will have the same
information, updated at least daily.
With trading directed by an
advisor, is the choice of a
brokerage
firm still important?
It's no less important than in any
other investment relationship. On a
day-to-day basis, the brokerage firm
may be monitoring and evaluating the
advisor’s performance even more
closely than you will. In addition,
although the advisor directs trading
for your account, it is generally
your brokerage firm that will
execute the trades, and manage all
"back office operations" regarding
your account.
Thus, it's important to know you are
doing business with a firm that has
the resources and skills to compete
effectively in today's markets. Some
do, better than others. And
intangibly, but by no means least,
it's important to have a high
comfort level with the broker you'll
be working with.
What mistakes to investors
sometimes make regarding managed
futures accounts?
Three probably top the list. First,
the fact that a managed account
approach may be more attractive than
a do-it-yourself trading approach
doesn't mean futures trading in any
form is necessarily appropriate for
a given person. Because risk is the
constant shadow of the pursuit of
profit, it's definitely not
appropriate for everyone. Unless
you're confident it's appropriate
for you, don't invest at all.
Second, as already mentioned,
choosing an advisor for the wrong
reasons can be a costly mistake.
Selecting solely on the basis of
"who's hot and who's not" usually
leads to flawed decisions.
Third, investors prone to "account
jumping" frequently jump the wrong
way. This doesn't mean the advisor
you start with should forever be the
advisor you stay with, but it does
mean -- and the records document it
-- that accounts maintained over a
longer period of time tend to
perform appreciably better than
accounts that are in short-term
parking. That's all the more reason
for your initial decision to be
carefully considered.
How do trading advisors get paid?
Normally through a periodic
management fee that's some
percentage of the amount of money
under management, plus an incentive
fee that's a given percentage of net
profits earned for the account
during a given period. This will be
described in the disclosure
document. Some may charge only one
type of fee or the other. And if the
fee is a combination of the two,
different advisors weight it in
different ways. Naturally,
management expenses as well as
brokerage commissions are topics to
discuss.
Is there a minimum investment needed
to establish an account?
Yes, but different managed account
programs have different minimums. At
the least, it will be an amount the
advisor and brokerage firm - given
the trading approach utilized -
consider adequate to achieve account
diversification. Minimum account
size also may be affected by whether
the managed account program is
designed principally to serve
individual investors or
institution/corporate clients.
Are there any restrictions
on withdrawing funds from the
account?
In a private managed account program
-- as distinct from a commodity pool
or fund -- the only restriction is
usually that you do not make
withdrawals below the minimum
required investment. You will,
however, be free to withdraw all
funds after liquidation of any open
positions. This can be done at any
time of your choosing unless the
account agreement you've signed
stipulates otherwise. Similarly, if
there are profits in the account,
you are free to withdraw them or
leave the money available for
reinvestment.
Any final words of advice?
Only that if you decide futures
trading is an appropriate
investment, give careful thought to
the advantages of a managed account
approach. And that you choose your
trading advisor with considerable
care. For the right investors,
teamed with the right advisors,
today's futures markets are
providing increasingly attractive
and diverse investment
opportunities. Perhaps you should
consider them.
This original version of this
booklet was prepared for the Chicago
Mercantile Exchange by financial
writer Fred Bailey. Over the past
two decades, he has written
extensively about futures and
options and their uses in connection
with portfolio management.
Copyright © 2000 Chicage Mercantile
Exchange